The stories moving sports right now — chases, slumps, trades, MVP races — argued with the data to back them up. Free reads to start; the deep dives are for members.
Duren, Harden and the market's leftovers aren't stuck by accident — the models flagged the friction months ago.
8/7/2026Forget the folklore. Here's what the model actually sees when it runs college football's bitterest rivalries through the numbers.
8/7/2026Nostalgia isn't a variable in the model. But Alabama's actual on-field drift since 2023 is — and it's real.
8/7/2026Buyers and sellers made their moves — but which teams actually improved their odds? The numbers say something different than the headlines.
8/7/2026Detroit didn't just take the best offer — it took the best-fit offer. Here's the math behind the Skubal deal.
8/7/2026A running back extension made headlines, but the real edge is in which deals price talent correctly and which price name value.
8/7/2026Boston's win streak looks good on paper, but the underlying process tells a different story about who's actually built for October.
8/6/2026Forget the eye test — here's how a model separates true Hall of Fame trajectories from good players wearing a narrative.
8/6/2026Kyle Schwarber leads the majors at the break. The numbers say don't bet against it — with one catch.
7/7/2026